June 18, 2013

On the brink of defeat

This is the beginning of the end of the complete defeat of the Western ISAF coalition. There is little reason for the tribes of Afghanistan to enter talks anymore when they are on the brink of complete victory.

Humiliation for the West is near, one of the largest Western coalitions ever sent to war is coming back home broken and defeated. Billions of dollars spent against a 'primitive' opposition that showed the world that the US can be defeated despite overwhelming superiority in conventional arms. 

Not long ago the official policy was ''we will not talk with terrorists'' - today is the day that ISAF handed the military-responsibility to the Afghan government. Now the US, suddenly, feels a need to ''talk'' with the ''enemy'' that would not buckle. Despite, being the party in the conflict that initially refused to enter talks. 


 

June 16, 2013

Cleptocratic State of Tanzania





1. Introduction

Tanzania remains one of the world’s most corrupt countries despite years or even decades of attempts to crack down corruption. The paper's purpose is to describe, analyze and discuss corruption in Tanzania. The emphasis of this paper is to provide an overview and background of the country's democracy and corruption development. A political overview of the situation in Tanzania, and an analytical discussion of the country's corruption and the efforts undertaken against corruption will be provided. This paper will also present, briefly, Leftwich's and Mungiu-Pippidi's theories and argument on how to combat corruption, which might give some insight into why the Tanzanian situation is not improving.

2. Background
Tanzania is a developing country in the region of East Africa. Tanzania gained its independence in the 1960s from the British Empire. Democratization processes halted in 1965 when the country became a de jure one-party socialist state. Tanzania nationalized its economy and incorporated or neutralized its civil society (Hussmann, K. & Mmuya, M. 2006). Since independence, Tanzania experienced modest economic growth of about 5% annually until 1986 when the economy collapsed. Upon the collapse of 1986, Tanzania had experienced a longer economic decline caused partly by the oil crisis and the war with Uganda (Seppänen, M. & Virtanen, P. 2007). The state controlled economy’s steady decline resulted in the rise of the country’s informal economy. When the economy finally collapsed, Tanzania was forced into formal agreements with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank (WB) (Hussmann, K. & Mmuya, M. 2006). 

IMF and WB are institutions ultimately controlled by its member states, and at the time the dominating member states were: USA, Japan, Germany, the UK and France. These countries embraced and still embrace the neo-liberal ideals. Neo-liberalism is not merely an economic theory but also a political ideology which cherishes open-market economies, and a minimalistic public sector. At the time of the collapse of the Tanzanian economy the Soviet Union was weakened, and eventually seized to exist. Therefore, by the end of the Cold War, the Western-controlled IMF and WB were free to impose neo-liberal and good-governance conditions for further financial aid, without any fears of Tanzania leaning onto the Soviet Union for assistance (Leftwich, A. 1994).

However, deregulation of the economy and the privatization of the public industries were done without proper supervision and frameworks. Severe ethical breaches were made and corruption was widespread at all levels of society, especially on the grand political level. Due to the alarming levels of corruption the international donors froze their assets allocated for Tanzania (Seppänen, M. & Virtanen, P. 2006). 

3. The Political situation

Tanzania abolished the de jure one-party state in 1992, despite of that Tanzania has been under the control of the same party since 1965. In a recent election the ruling Chima Cha Mapinduzi Party received 86% of the seats in the parliament. The electoral and the campaign financing systems both favor the ruling party. Tanzania has eighteen political parties, of which four parties are currently in the opposition in the Tanzanian parliament. The fragmentation of the opposition makes it difficult for an effective opposition-coalition to form. Parliament works mostly as a rubberstamp for the government. Often appearing, as if the parliamentary hearings are only a formality for the government. A factor further undermining the opposition is Tanzania’s strong semi-presidential system. The president can even appoint ten members of parliament (Hussmann, K. & Mmuya, M. 2007). 

4. Status of Corruption

Corruption in Tanzania is alarmingly wide-spread. Whole of the Tanzanian society is infested with corruption. After the heights in the late 1980s and mid 1990s corruption has become less open. However, corruption is present on all levels of society corruption is systematic and exists on the petty and grand scale. Alarmingly, corruption has even as of late been present at the presidential office itself. There have been strong allegations of President Benjamin Mkapa, 1995-2005, being involved in a corruption scandal. A further issue is that governmental policies seem to be driven by client-patronage interests (Hussmann, K. & Mmuya, M. 2007). Further, corruption is also present in the private sector. International companies are known to have struck deals through means of corruption in order to access to the country’s abundant natural resources (Seppänen, M. & Virtanen, P. 2008). 

Classifying Tanzania into a corruption category the state would classify as purely particularistic, in other terms a hybrid-regime. Tanzania’s ruling party CCM has an unjust power-position due to favorable electoral and campaign financing legislation, which essentially ensures CCM an uncontested power monopoly. People seeking public positions have to have connections to the CCM, since recruitment is strongly based on favorism. As opposed to, decisions based on objective and good-governance principles. Thus the state can be regarded as property of CCM. Tanzania is ruled by social hierarchies and informal conventions rather than by the rule of law. People get better treatment the closer they stand to the power center of the ruling elite. Individuals strive to get privileged positions rather than change society. Those who do not stand close to power must bribe for equal treatment (Mungiu-Pippidi, A. 2006).

Tanzania is one of the world’s poorest countries with only about $674 per capita incomes, people seem to be more concerned with surviving. Rather than fixing the corruption issue, none-the-less, corruption adds to the living costs as an extra fee in many instances. Corruption in Tanzania is condemned but it is not the top concern of the people. Executives, households and public workers listed corruption as Tanzania’s third or fourth largest problem after inflation and living costs (GoT / PCCB 2009). The distributions of public goods have been worsened due to neo-liberal policies. Health care and education costs have soared, subsidies for small businesses and consumers have been severely cut. Thus, the distribution of wealth has become more unequal, increasingly, favoring those with affluence and influence (Hussmann, K. & Mmuya, M. 2007).


Figure and classification base by Mungiu-Pippidi, A. (2006).
 
5. Efforts against Corruption

Sadly, the international community’s cooperation with the Tanzanian regime on anti-corruption initiatives has only helped the Tanzanian corrupt regime to legitimate itself. Efforts made by the donors have helped the Tanzanian regimes reputation both internationally and domestically. Current efforts by the international donors are based on the presumption, that the ruling CCM Party would self-clean itself from its corrupt elements. However, there have thus far been no proofs of this happening. CCM seems to be successfully using the current efforts against corruption as a political survival strategy. Credibility is increased by appearing to be doing something while in fact doing nothing (Hussmann, K. & Mmuya, M. 2007). The few people getting caught and punished at present, are likely to be people that have lost a power struggle or just fallen out of favor within the elite. Tanzania has trouble getting anti-corruption and transparency legislation implemented. Action plans are being made without sufficient amount of information (Seppänen, M. & Virtanen, P. 2008). There is a spider-web of agencies and institutions assigned to combat corruption, which also seem to be in a constant reform process. Trouble is that agencies are poorly coordinated and partly overlapping, and they all directly report to the president’s office through a filter of only three to four staff members. Furthermore, the difficulties in accessibility to public information are a threat against transparency and civil empowerment (Hussmann, K. & Mmuya, M. 2007).

6. Time for a different remedy?

Leftwich and Mungiu-Pippidi oppose the idea that problems regarding corruption that are at its core political should be attempted to be solved in technocratic ways. They argue that no matter how much efforts there are made into improving the technical aspects of bureaucracy it will not help, unless there is political will backing those efforts. Leftwhich and Mungiu-Pippidi look at aspects such as civil society and enlightenment as solutions against corruption. They are advocating that the people should be taught of the consequences of corruption.  They argue that without a vibrant civil society, that voluntarily monitors society and condemns corruption, there cannot be an effective effort against corruption. Without the will of the people there cannot be democracy, and without the will of the people there cannot be a society without corruption. In the Leftwhich and Mungiu-Pippidi analysis any anti-corruption strategy has to build upon the strengthening and empowerment of civil society and the people. They do not believe in an uncorrupt society without active citizens that actively seeks to combat injustice. Alina Mungiu-Piddi goes as far as to advocating the level of struggle that stretches to civil war. She believes that the best time to strike against a corrupt government is during the time of political or economic turmoil. That is the period when the opposition is at its strongest and the government at its weakest (Leftwich, A. 1994) (Mungiu-Pippidi, A. 2006). ‘’For all these reasons, in both the analysis and promotion of development, it is time to bring politics back in.’’ – Adrian Leftwich.

’’Particularism cannot be fought by government – that is a contradiction in terms. Historically it has been the political opposition, civil society, or even enlightened deposits who have promoted the greatest strides forward’’ - Mungiu-Pippidi. Tanzania’s problem is that there is a lack of political will for change. The political opposition is small, and insignificant and unable to make lasting coalitions. Loud politicians in the oppositions are either incorporated or silenced. Civil society is rather underdeveloped and weak. If Tanzania is to get rid of corruption it needs to get rid of restrictions in freedom of speech, and stop prosecuting whistle-blowers like the journalist that exposed President Benjamin Mkapas (Hussmann, K. & Mmuya, M. 2007). If the lack of opposition and civil society is one of the main problems, the other problem is the ruling party. CCM is well organized and remains strong in Tanzania; it is a difficult adversary even for a strong opposition.

7. International community and the rise of China

International donors have tried to cooperate with the government in order to press for change. However, the neo-liberal approaches have only made Tanzania more unequal, living costs have been raised for the poorest in Tanzania due these policies. This has led to a situation where the development of civil society is undermined. People are increasingly forced to focus on survival. If people need to focus on survival they will not be able to think about politics and society. The international community has cooperated with the Tanzanian government but the results have been next to fictional anti-corruption acts, which have only helped the government to cling onto power.

Looking at the future, the strategy needs to change on the side of the donors if they want to reduce corruption. Instead of cooperating with the government, and pushing for neo-liberal policies, they should emphasize the help on developing civil society. International donors should focus on developing education in Tanzania, to get involved with the community in order to help the citizens of Tanzania empower themselves. Western governments might have to step up the game, and put some political pressure on the Tanzanian government in order to improve the situation in freedom of speech and civil society. Tanzania receives around 40% of its GDP in aid. Therefore, a coordinated effort could bring about radical improvements in the state of civil society in Tanzania (Hussmann, K. & Mmuya, M. 2007).

The problem is that the democratization and anti-corruption development window might be closing soon in Tanzania, and other African countries in a similar situation. China, an emerging superpower, has turned its eyes on the rich natural resources of Africa. China is known for not giving any moral advice to its international partners, as it itself is an undemocratic oligarchy. Furthermore, China has the advantage in Africa of not having the burden of an old colonial master, unlike several of the Western-democracies. ‘’ Tanzania is one of the largest aid recipients in the region with around 40% of the national budget financed through external resources and 80% of the development budget financed through Official Development Assistance (ODA).’’ - Hussmann, K. & Mmuya, M. 2007. What will happen if China fills those shoes without any political demands unlike the West has on Tanzania? Will the political rights of the Tanzanian people be further compromised?

 Refernces list
Authors
Bengtsson, Å. (2007) ‘’Politiskt deltagande’’ Lund: Studentlitteratur, 2007.
Hussmann, K. & Mmuya, M. (2007) "Tanzania - A Country Case Study" (U4)
Leftwich, A. (1994) "Governance, the State and Politics of Development" in Development and Change vol. 25
Mungiu-Pippidi, A. (2006) "Corruption: diagnosis and treatment" in Journal of Democracy vol. 17
Seppänen, M. & Virtanen, P. (2008) "Corruption, Poverty and Gender" - the case of Tanzania, (Ministry for Foreign Affairs of Finland) (p. 110-145)
Organizations
United Republic of Tanzania / The Preventing and Combating of Corruption Bureau (2009) "National Governance and Corruption Survey" (GoT / PCCB publication)
Lectures
Groop, C. (2013) ‘’Lecture number three in Corruption and Development’’, Åbo Akademi University spring of 2013.
Internet
Internet I: